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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Eureka Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake-Orient Park

Tract 12057012103 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,510 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Eureka Homes neighborhood of East Lake-Orient Park is where census tract 12057012103 sits, home to 7,510 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,496 a month against an average household income of $63,846 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 33% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,974
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$63,846

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eureka Homes
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In East Lake-Orient Park
Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#112 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,422 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Lake-Orient Park and the region

Centroid at 27.9830, -82.3435 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eureka Homes scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,496 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.4

How Eureka Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eureka Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 012103East Lake-Orient P: 2.52.5East Lake-Orient Pparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,271Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 11.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2016)
  • 167Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570121032000: 103 filings (16.53/100 renter HHs)2001: 99 filings (15.89/100 renter HHs)2002: 71 filings (11.39/100 renter HHs)2003: 84 filings (13.48/100 renter HHs)2004: 112 filings (17.97/100 renter HHs)2005: 117 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 95 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2010: 139 filings (10.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 124 filings (6.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 160 filings (8.84/100 renter HHs)2016: 167 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 62% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 696Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.41× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (0.43× baseline)2020-11-01: 8 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-12-01: 16 filings (1.31× baseline)2021-01-01: 10 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-02-01: 10 filings (1.03× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-04-01: 9 filings (0.82× baseline)2021-05-01: 6 filings (0.59× baseline)2021-06-01: 17 filings (1.58× baseline)2021-07-01: 8 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-08-01: 13 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-09-01: 7 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-02-01: 15 filings (1.54× baseline)2022-03-01: 9 filings (0.97× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2022-05-01: 10 filings (0.98× baseline)2022-06-01: 13 filings (1.21× baseline)2022-07-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-08-01: 14 filings (1.12× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (0.65× baseline)2023-01-01: 8 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-02-01: 11 filings (1.13× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (0.65× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-05-01: 17 filings (1.66× baseline)2023-06-01: 11 filings (1.02× baseline)2023-07-01: 11 filings (0.98× baseline)2023-08-01: 27 filings (2.16× baseline)2023-09-01: 14 filings (1.12× baseline)2023-10-01: 17 filings (1.48× baseline)2023-11-01: 12 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (0.41× baseline)2024-01-01: 17 filings (1.51× baseline)2024-02-01: 11 filings (1.13× baseline)2024-03-01: 8 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-05-01: 17 filings (1.66× baseline)2024-06-01: 11 filings (1.02× baseline)2024-07-01: 11 filings (0.98× baseline)2024-08-01: 25 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (0.72× baseline)2024-10-01: 22 filings (1.91× baseline)2024-11-01: 5 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 14 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-01-01: 14 filings (1.24× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-03-01: 18 filings (1.95× baseline)2025-04-01: 15 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-05-01: 12 filings (1.17× baseline)2025-06-01: 11 filings (1.02× baseline)2025-07-01: 16 filings (1.42× baseline)2025-08-01: 17 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-09-01: 17 filings (1.36× baseline)2025-10-01: 14 filings (1.22× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (0.73× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eureka Homes

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.88x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057012103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012103?

Census tract 12057012103 in the Eureka Homes neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057012103?

Median gross rent is $1,496/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012103?

14.5% of residents in tract 12057012103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,510.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 94th, minority 79th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12057012103 considered part of Eureka Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012103 fall within Eureka Homes (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,271 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.69% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057012103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057012103 compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?

Tract 12057012103 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake-Orient Park at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Lake-Orient Park

Top eight tracts in East Lake-Orient Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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