Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Del Rio Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake-Orient Park
Tract 12057010502 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,937 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 12057010502 in the Del Rio area of East Lake-Orient Park, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,937. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,154
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$54,650
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake-Orient Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0089, -82.3967 · click any tract to drill in
Why Del Rio scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake-Orient Park
7.4
How Del Rio compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 575Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2002)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 218Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Del Rio. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Del Rio
Cost burden runs 66% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
At $1,189 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of East Lake-Orient Park commands. Court records carry 575 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 16.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $54,650. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010502?
Census tract 12057010502 in the Del Rio neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010502?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010502?
13.5% of residents in tract 12057010502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,937.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 31th, minority 89th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010502 considered part of Del Rio?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010502 fall within Del Rio (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 575 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.22% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010502 compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?
Tract 12057010502 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake-Orient Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake-Orient Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake-Orient Park
Top eight tracts in East Lake-Orient Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related