Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated , Egypt Lake-Leto

Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 83% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $43,092, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 25.7% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,799 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Egypt Lake-Leto commands. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.