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Neighborhood · Egypt Lake-Leto, FL

Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,560 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

Arbor Oaks maps to a single census tract in Egypt Lake-Leto, FL and houses 3,560 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.2/10, in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 77%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

83% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Egypt Lake-Leto rate of 37.3%. Set annual rent against average household income of $43,092 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10.

At $1,799 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Egypt Lake-Leto commands. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #1 of 6 neighborhoods in Egypt Lake-Leto.

At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Al Dana Park and Pine Crest Manor. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arbor Oaks vs Egypt Lake-Leto How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
83.0% +123%
Egypt Lake-Leto: 37.3%
Average gross rent
$1,799 +21%
Egypt Lake-Leto: $1,482
Average HH income
$43,092 -20%
Egypt Lake-Leto: $53,599
Poverty rate
17.5% +5%
Egypt Lake-Leto: 16.7%
Renter share
14.3% -73%
Egypt Lake-Leto: 52.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arbor Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why Arbor Oaks scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
83% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Economic stress
17.5% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Arbor Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arbor Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.2Arbor OaksNeighborhood4.8Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Arbor Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057011909 6.2 3,560 83% $1,799
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arbor Oaks

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 71Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly observed
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.21×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Arbor Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arbor Oaks?

Arbor Oaks scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arbor Oaks compare to Egypt Lake-Leto overall?

Arbor Oaks scores 1.4 points higher than Egypt Lake-Leto overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 83% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,799 vs $1,482.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arbor Oaks?

Average gross rent in Arbor Oaks is $1,799/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arbor Oaks residents are renters?

14% of Arbor Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Egypt Lake-Leto). The neighborhood has 3,560 residents.
Q5

Is Arbor Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Arbor Oaks sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Arbor Oaks for landlords?

Arbor Oaks carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Egypt Lake-Leto as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Arbor Oaks?

Arbor Oaks has 3,301 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (66.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arbor Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Egypt Lake-Leto

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arbor Oaks.

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