Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057002900 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,123 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 12057002900 covers the Arlington Heights area of Tampa in Florida. Home to 2,123 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,512 a month while the average household earns $56,075 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$56,075
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9742, -82.4635 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington Heights scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,512 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Arlington Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 61%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 349Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2000)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 59Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057002900?
Census tract 12057002900 in the Arlington Heights neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057002900?
Median gross rent is $1,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057002900?
12.2% of residents in tract 12057002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,123.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 53th, minority 74th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 12057002900 considered part of Arlington Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057002900 fall within Arlington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057002900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 349 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.57% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057002900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057002900 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057002900 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057002900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Vedado
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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