Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057002900 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,123 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 12057002900 sits in the Arlington Heights area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 2,123 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$56,075
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9742, -82.4635 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington Heights scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,512 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Arlington Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 61%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 349Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.0%Peak (2000)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 59Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington Heights
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $56,075, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.
Court records carry 349 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,512, 11% below the Tampa average.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 20.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057002900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057002900?
Census tract 12057002900 in the Arlington Heights neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057002900?
Median gross rent is $1,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057002900?
12.2% of residents in tract 12057002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,123.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057002900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 53th, minority 74th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 12057002900 considered part of Arlington Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057002900 fall within Arlington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057002900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 349 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057002900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.57% of renter households, peaking at 20.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057002900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057002900 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057002900 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057002900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Mills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
El Valle de Tampa
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Oakridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12057000101
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related