Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Egypt Lake-Leto
Tract 12057011909 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,560 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 12057011909, home to 3,560 residents in the Arbor Oaks area of Egypt Lake-Leto, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 83% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 77% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,799 monthly, set against $43,092 in average yearly household income, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$43,092
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Egypt Lake-Leto and the region
Centroid at 28.0191, -82.4977 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbor Oaks scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,799 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto
7.8
How Arbor Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 71Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbor Oaks
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.21x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011909?
Census tract 12057011909 in the Arbor Oaks neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011909?
Median gross rent is $1,799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011909?
17.5% of residents in tract 12057011909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,560.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 49th, minority 84th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011909 considered part of Arbor Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011909 fall within Arbor Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011909 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011909 compare to Egypt Lake-Leto overall?
Tract 12057011909 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Egypt Lake-Leto at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Egypt Lake-Leto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Egypt Lake-Leto
Top eight tracts in Egypt Lake-Leto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Al Dana Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Pine Crest Manor
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
West Park
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Court
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ansley Park
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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