Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Arrawana Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057004901 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,962 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 12057004901 sits in the Arrawana Park area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$71,847
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9505, -82.4809 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arrawana Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,682 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Arrawana Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 109Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arrawana Park
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,682, close to the Tampa average.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $71,847. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057004901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004901?
Census tract 12057004901 in the Arrawana Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057004901?
Median gross rent is $1,682/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004901?
15.6% of residents in tract 12057004901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,962.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 7th, minority 72th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 12057004901 considered part of Arrawana Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004901 fall within Arrawana Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057004901 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057004901 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057004901 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12057004901 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Vedado
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Capitano
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
El Valle de Tampa
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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