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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Ceia Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa

Tract 12057005700 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,281 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 12057005700 sits in the Palma Ceia Pines area of Tampa eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. It is home to 4,281 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 28% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,283
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$102,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Palma Ceia Pines
Moderate
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9409, -82.4958 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Ceia Pines scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,616 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Palma Ceia Pines compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palma Ceia Pines risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0057004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 415Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak (2005)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057005700
Filings dropped 64% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 72Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.87×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Ceia Pines

Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 415 filings here across 11 tracked years. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.8% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,616, close to the Tampa average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $102,083. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057005700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057005700?

Census tract 12057005700 in the Palma Ceia Pines neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057005700?

Median gross rent is $1,616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057005700?

15.5% of residents in tract 12057005700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,281.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057005700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 86th, minority 46th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 12057005700 considered part of Palma Ceia Pines?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057005700 fall within Palma Ceia Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057005700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057005700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.80% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057005700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.87× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057005700 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057005700 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057005700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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