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Valrico, Florida eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,334 of 1,865 nationally

Valrico, FL Eviction Risk: LOW

Hillsborough County · Population 40,239

In 2026
Risk score
3.8
LOW

89th percentile, Florida.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.8 Average3.3 Now3.8
10 5 1976 · score 2.2 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.4 1980 · score 2.0 1981 · score 2.1 1982 · score 2.1 1983 · score 2.1 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.9 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.7 1995 · score 2.7 1996 · score 3.0 1997 · score 3.1 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.3 2000 · score 2.9 2001 · score 3.0 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.1 2004 · score 3.0 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.1 2007 · score 3.1 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.8 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 4.0 2014 · score 4.1 2015 · score 4.2 2016 · score 4.3 2017 · score 4.4 2018 · score 4.6 2019 · score 4.8 2020 · score 5.3 2021 · score 5.3 2022 · score 5.3 2023 · score 5.3 2024 · score 5.0 2025 · score 5.1 2026 · score 3.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.8 Regional 5.8 State 1.5 Economic 5.1 Supply 6.7 Rent Control 7.9 Eviction 1.0 Tenant 4.7 Housing 6.3 3.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +3.1% (2024)
    5.8
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.8
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    8.6% poverty · 3.6% unemp.
    5.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,937 average · 21.0% renters
    6.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.2% of income on rent
    7.9
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    28 days filing → judgment
    1.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    21.0% renters
    4.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.3
Geographic context

Risk heat across Valrico and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Valrico compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Hillsborough County
Elevated
#13 of 34 cities
Rank in county, 64th percentileBottomTop
#13 of 34 cities in Hillsborough County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Florida
High
#130 of 949 cities
Rank in state, 86th percentileBottomTop
#130 of 949 cities in Florida for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Valrico risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Valrico: 3.83.8ValricoThis cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 28d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,937/mo. A contested eviction takes 28 days and costs $1,134-$3,710 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 21.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 40,239 residents, 21.0% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.8 and 5.8 (GOP margin +3.1% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1, housing court bias 6.3, rent-control risk 7.9. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-4.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.1. Supply constraint: 6.7. The numbers behind those: 8.6% poverty, 3.6% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Valrico sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 3.2 Tampa St. Petersburg, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 3.2 St. Petersburg Spring Hill, FL · 30d · ~$2.3k all-in ($76/day) · score 2.7 Spring Hill Lakeland, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($91/day) · score 2.2 Lakeland Brandon, FL · 30d · ~$2.2k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.9 Brandon Clearwater, FL · 30d · ~$2.1k all-in ($71/day) · score 2.5 Clearwater Riverview, FL · 28d · ~$2.6k all-in ($92/day) · score 4 Riverview Town 'n' Country, FL · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($95/day) · score 4 Town 'n' Country Largo, FL · 28d · ~$2.5k all-in ($88/day) · score 3.9 Largo Wesley Chapel, FL · 28d · ~$2.3k all-in ($82/day) · score 3.5 Wesley Chapel Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Valrico
Valrico · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 3.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Valrico, FL

Landlording in Valrico, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Valrico is a city of 40,239 residents where 21.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,937/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Valrico eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Valrico closes 28 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Valrico's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.3/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Valrico runs $1,134 to $3,710 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 28 days of typical timeline and $1,937/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.7/10 in Valrico, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.9/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Valrico: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,710 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Valrico

Trap · 6.3/10
For landlords, the 5.1/10 score is most actionable when combined with Hillsborough County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 6.3/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I turn off utilities if a tenant stops paying rent in Valrico?

Absolutely not. This is an illegal self-help eviction tactic in Florida and can lead to severe penalties, including fines and damages owed to the tenant. All evictions must go through the court system.

Q2

How much notice do I need to give a tenant to move out if their lease is ending?

If the lease has a specific end date, no additional notice is typically required for the tenant to vacate on that date, unless your lease specifies otherwise. For month-to-month tenancies, you must provide a 15-day notice before the end of a monthly period to terminate the tenancy without cause.

Q3

What if the tenant leaves some belongings behind after an eviction?

Florida law has specific rules for abandoned property. You must store the property safely and provide written notice to the tenant. If the property isn't claimed within a certain period (usually 10-15 days, depending on how the notice is served), you can dispose of it. Consult an attorney or review Fla. Stat. § 715.104 for precise requirements.

Q4

Can I accept partial rent payment to avoid an eviction?

You can, but be very careful. If you accept a partial payment after issuing a 3-day pay-or-quit notice, you generally waive your right to evict based on that notice. You would then need to issue a new 3-day notice for the remaining balance. It's often safer to stick to your guns or offer cash for keys if you want them out.

Q5

Does Valrico have rent control?

No, Florida has a statewide preemption against rent control, meaning local governments generally cannot enact their own rent control ordinances. While Valrico shows a higher "rent-control-risk" score (7.9/10), this refers to broader legislative pressure and not an active local ordinance. Always stay updated on state law changes.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.8/10 places Valrico in the 89th percentile of Florida cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.