Neighborhood · Valrico, FL

Abbey Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 16,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.1/10 · range 1.8–2.9

Abbey Grove is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Valrico with 3 census tracts and a population of 16,567 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,661/month sits 14% lower than the Valrico citywide average ($1,937).

Risk score

2.1

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Abbey Grove vs Valrico How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.7% +77%

Valrico: 33.2%

Average gross rent

$1,661 -14%

Valrico: $1,937

Average HH income

$102,665 +4%

Valrico: $98,451

Poverty rate

8.4% -3%

Valrico: 8.6%

Renter share

20.1% -4%

Valrico: 21.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Abbey Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.8–2.9

Why Abbey Grove scores 2.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Economic stress

8.4% below poverty line · Range 1.4–2.4 across tracts

2.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–3.9 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Abbey Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Abbey Grove?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.1 points from 1.8 to 2.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

2.9 2.1 1.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Abbey Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057013204	2.9	3,993	36%	$1,571
12057013203	2.1	3,356	23%	$1,766
12057013205	1.8	9,218	82%	$1,662

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 39%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 26%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Abbey Grove

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

356Total filings (sum)
5.62%Avg annual filing rate
12.4%Peak year (2016)
6.84%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

337Total filings 2020-21
1.7Avg monthly observed
1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.07×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Abbey Grove

What is the eviction-risk score for Abbey Grove?

Abbey Grove scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Abbey Grove compare to Valrico overall?

Abbey Grove scores 0.1 points lower than Valrico overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,661 vs $1,937.

What is the average rent in Abbey Grove?

Average gross rent in Abbey Grove is $1,661/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Abbey Grove residents are renters?

20% of Abbey Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Valrico). The neighborhood has 16,567 residents.

Is Abbey Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Abbey Grove sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Abbey Grove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Abbey Grove is census tract 12057013204 (score 2.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.8 to 2.9, a spread of 1.1 points.

How safe is Abbey Grove for landlords?

Abbey Grove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valrico as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Abbey Grove?

Abbey Grove has 16,206 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Hispanic / Latino (24.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Abbey Grove

3.5 Brentwood Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,249 2.6 The District 2 tracts · pop 8,300 3.9 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 2.8 Abbey Trace 2 tracts · pop 13,939 3.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 3.4 Sterling Ranch 3 tracts · pop 16,449

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Valrico

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Abbey Grove.

2.2 Erin Arbor 1 tracts · pop 5,025 1.8 Twin Lakes of Brandon 1 tracts · pop 4,491 2.9 Angel Run 1 tracts · pop 5,916 1.2 River Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,958 3.1 Arista 1 tracts · pop 5,286

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