3 census tracts · pop 16,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3–3.8
Abbey Grove takes in 3 census tracts of Valrico, FL and houses 16,567 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Valrico rate of 33.2%.
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 356 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.
At $1,661 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Valrico commands. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 12.4% of renter households. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Valrico, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.
Judgments average 2.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Abbey Grove vs ValricoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Abbey Grove
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
356Total filings (sum)
5.62%Avg annual filing rate
12.4%Peak year (2016)
6.84%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
337Total filings 2020-21
1.7Avg monthly observed
1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Abbey Grove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Abbey Grove?
Abbey Grove scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Abbey Grove compare to Valrico overall?
Abbey Grove scores 0.6 points lower than Valrico overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,661 vs $1,937.
Q3
What is the average rent in Abbey Grove?
Average gross rent in Abbey Grove is $1,661/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Abbey Grove residents are renters?
20% of Abbey Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Valrico). The neighborhood has 16,567 residents.
Q5
Is Abbey Grove a high social-vulnerability area?
Abbey Grove sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Abbey Grove have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Abbey Grove is census tract 12057013204 (score 3.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.8, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Abbey Grove for landlords?
Abbey Grove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valrico as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Abbey Grove?
Abbey Grove has 16,206 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Hispanic / Latino (24.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
