Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Bella Casa Eviction Risk: Lower , Villas
Tract 12071001206 ·
Lee, FL · pop 2,296 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12071001206 covers part of the Bella Casa area of Villas, FL, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 20%Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$73,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bella Casa
Moderate
Within parent city
20th percentile
#5 of 6 tracts In Villas
Low
Within county
54th percentile
#103 of 222 tracts In Lee
Moderate
Within state
42th percentile
#2,995 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Villas and the region
Centroid at 26.5459, -81.8481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bella Casa scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Villas
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,618 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Villas
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Villas
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Villas
6.4
How Bella Casa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
16%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bella Casa
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Lee County average of 3.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,618, close to the Villas average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $73,750.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071001206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001206?
Census tract 12071001206 in the Bella Casa neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071001206?
Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001206?
5.9% of residents in tract 12071001206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,296.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 65th, minority 42th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 12071001206 considered part of Bella Casa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001206 fall within Bella Casa (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071001206 compare to Villas overall?
Tract 12071001206 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Villas at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Villas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Villas
Top eight tracts in Villas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.