Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Bella Casa Eviction Risk: Lower , Villas
Tract 12071001206 · Lee, FL · pop 2,296 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12071001206 (the Bella Casa area of Villas, Florida) comes in at 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,618 a month against an average household income of $73,750 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$73,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Villas and the region
Centroid at 26.5459, -81.8481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bella Casa scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Villas
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,618 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Villas
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Villas
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Villas
6.4
How Bella Casa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bella Casa
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Villas, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lee County average of 4.4 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071001206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001206?
Census tract 12071001206 in the Bella Casa neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071001206?
Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001206?
5.9% of residents in tract 12071001206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,296.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 65th, minority 42th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 12071001206 considered part of Bella Casa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001206 fall within Bella Casa (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071001206 compare to Villas overall?
Tract 12071001206 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Villas at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Villas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Villas
Top eight tracts in Villas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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