Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071050306 · Lee, FL · pop 2,333 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 12071050306 covers Colonial Oaks in Estero, home to 2,333 residents. For landlords it grades 4.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $69,116 in average yearly household income, roughly 61% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%

Tract context

Occupied units1,293

Renter share7.6%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate5.9%

Median income$69,116

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4269, -81.7939 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Oaks scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Estero

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

5.9% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Estero

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Estero

3.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Estero

4.9

How Colonial Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

18%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Oaks

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Estero, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lee County average of 4.4 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050306

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050306?

Census tract 12071050306 in the Colonial Oaks neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12071050306?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050306?

5.9% of residents in tract 12071050306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,333.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 30th, minority 21th, housing 23th.

Is tract 12071050306 considered part of Colonial Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050306 fall within Colonial Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071050306 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050306 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Estero at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.