Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero
Tract 12071050306 ·
Lee, FL · pop 2,333 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 12071050306 sits in the Colonial Oaks area of Estero, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,333. 54% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 3%Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,293
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$69,116
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Colonial Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
46th percentile
#7 of 12 tracts In Estero
Moderate
Within county
41th percentile
#132 of 222 tracts In Lee
Moderate
Within state
28th percentile
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Estero and the region
Centroid at 26.4269, -81.7939 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Oaks scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Estero
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Estero
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Estero
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Estero
4.9
How Colonial Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
18%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Oaks
Annualized rent equals 61% of average household income of $69,116, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Average gross rent is $3,501, 82% above the Estero average. The voucher gap is 90.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071050306
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050306?
Census tract 12071050306 in the Colonial Oaks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071050306?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050306?
5.9% of residents in tract 12071050306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,333.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050306?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 30th, minority 21th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 12071050306 considered part of Colonial Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050306 fall within Colonial Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071050306 compare to Estero overall?
Tract 12071050306 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Estero at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Estero
Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.