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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Grandezza Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071040118 · Lee, FL · pop 2,290 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Here is how census tract 12071040118, in Grandezza in Estero, looks to a landlord: a 4.5/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,290. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,895 a month while the average household earns $103,750 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 19% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$103,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grandezza
Moderate
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 12 tracts In Estero
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#186 of 222 tracts In Lee
Very Low
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#4,368 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4437, -81.7679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grandezza scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Estero
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,895 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Estero
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Estero
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Estero
4.9

How Grandezza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grandezza risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 040118Estero: 2.22.2Esteroparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grandezza

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Estero, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lee County average of 4.4 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071040118

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071040118?

Census tract 12071040118 in the Grandezza neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071040118?

Median gross rent is $1,895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071040118?

6.2% of residents in tract 12071040118 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,290.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071040118?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 10th, minority 31th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 12071040118 considered part of Grandezza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071040118 fall within Grandezza (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071040118 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071040118 scores 2.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Estero at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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