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Neighborhood · Estero, FL

Colonial Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,333 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Colonial Oaks maps to a single census tract in Estero, FL and houses 2,333 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 54%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Set annual rent against average household income of $69,116 and the ratio lands at 61%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 54% against 32.0% citywide, putting Colonial Oaks 22.1% over its own city.

At $3,501 a month, rents sit 82% over what the rest of Estero commands. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 90.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Estero, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Colonial Oaks vs Estero How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.1% +69%
Estero: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +82%
Estero: $1,920
Average HH income
$69,116 -31%
Estero: $100,459
Poverty rate
5.9% -8%
Estero: 6.4%
Renter share
7.6% -46%
Estero: 14.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonial Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Colonial Oaks scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
5.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Colonial Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Colonial Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Colonial Oaks: 3.03.0Colonial OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Colonial Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12071050306 3 2,333 54% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 21%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Colonial Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Colonial Oaks?

Colonial Oaks scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Colonial Oaks compare to Estero overall?

Colonial Oaks scores 0.4 points lower than Estero overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $1,920.
Q3

What is the average rent in Colonial Oaks?

Average gross rent in Colonial Oaks is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Colonial Oaks residents are renters?

8% of Colonial Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Estero). The neighborhood has 2,333 residents.
Q5

Is Colonial Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Colonial Oaks sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Colonial Oaks for landlords?

Colonial Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Estero as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Colonial Oaks?

Colonial Oaks has 2,376 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11.9%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colonial Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Estero

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colonial Oaks.

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