Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Cobblestone on the Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers
Tract 12071001203 ·
Lee, FL · pop 5,125 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12071001203 sits in the Cobblestone on the Lake area of Fort Myers eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%Stable renters 34%Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,894
Renter share86.5%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$50,161
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Cobblestone on the Lake
Very Low
Within parent city
59th percentile
#13 of 30 tracts In Fort Myers
Elevated
Within county
82th percentile
#41 of 222 tracts In Lee
High
Within state
68th percentile
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region
Centroid at 26.6155, -81.8489 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cobblestone on the Lake scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,421 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
How Cobblestone on the Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
88%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cobblestone on the Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Cobblestone on the Lake
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $50,161, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Lee County average of 52.2%.
Adults with no health insurance runs 24.7% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. It sits 0.8 points above the Lee County average of 3.7.
At $1,421 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Fort Myers commands. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071001203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001203?
Census tract 12071001203 in the Cobblestone on the Lake neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071001203?
Median gross rent is $1,421/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001203?
15.0% of residents in tract 12071001203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,125.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 60th, minority 78th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 12071001203 considered part of Cobblestone on the Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001203 fall within Cobblestone on the Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071001203 compare to Fort Myers overall?
Tract 12071001203 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers
Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.