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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Harlem Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071000503 · Lee, FL · pop 4,291 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 12071000503 covers part of the Harlem Lakes area of Fort Myers, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,291 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 25% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$51,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Harlem Lakes
Elevated
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 30 tracts In Fort Myers
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 222 tracts In Lee
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.6549, -81.8311 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harlem Lakes scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0

How Harlem Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harlem Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 000503Fort Myers: 3.43.4Fort Myersparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harlem Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harlem Lakes

Adults with no health insurance runs 33.3% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $51,161, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lee County average of 52.2%. At $1,397 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Fort Myers commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071000503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071000503?

Census tract 12071000503 in the Harlem Lakes neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071000503?

Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071000503?

19.0% of residents in tract 12071000503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,291.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071000503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 59th, minority 88th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 12071000503 considered part of Harlem Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071000503 fall within Harlem Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071000503 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071000503 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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