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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Seminole Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071001002 · Lee, FL · pop 2,798 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 12071001002 sits in the Seminole Park Historic District area of Fort Myers eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 2,798 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 12% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,256
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate29.4%
Median income$37,059

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Seminole Park Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 30 tracts In Fort Myers
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 222 tracts In Lee
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.6191, -81.8782 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seminole Park Historic District scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.4% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$938 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0

How Seminole Park Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seminole Park Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 001002Fort Myers: 3.43.4Fort Myersparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seminole Park Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seminole Park Historic District

Average gross rent is $938, 41% below the Fort Myers average. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Against Lee County at 52.2%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.1 points above the Lee County average of 3.7.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $37,059.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071001002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001002?

Census tract 12071001002 in the Seminole Park Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071001002?

Median gross rent is $938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001002?

29.4% of residents in tract 12071001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,798.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 92th, minority 51th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 12071001002 considered part of Seminole Park Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001002 fall within Seminole Park Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071001002 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071001002 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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