Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Harlem Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071000502 · Lee, FL · pop 4,450 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 12071000502 covers part of the Harlem Lakes area of Fort Myers, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,450. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 36% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,332
Renter share72.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate47.1%
Median income$31,756

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Harlem Lakes
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 30 tracts In Fort Myers
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 222 tracts In Lee
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.6436, -81.8431 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harlem Lakes scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
47.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$839 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0

How Harlem Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harlem Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 000502Fort Myers: 3.43.4Fort Myersparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harlem Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harlem Lakes

Average gross rent is $839, 47% below the Fort Myers average. The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.2% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 28.3% against 11.3% nationally. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071000502?

Census tract 12071000502 in the Harlem Lakes neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071000502?

Median gross rent is $839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071000502?

47.1% of residents in tract 12071000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,450.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 95th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 12071000502 considered part of Harlem Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071000502 fall within Harlem Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071000502 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071000502 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related