4 census tracts · pop 14,397 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.6–4.8
Harlem Lakes is a 4-tract neighborhood of Fort Myers, FL, population 14,397. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 41%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs 58% against 36.9% citywide, putting Harlem Lakes 21.3% over its own city. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Set annual rent against average household income of $38,580 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $1,104 a month, rents sit 30% under what the rest of Fort Myers commands.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Fort Myers, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Country Lakes and Cobblestone on the Lake score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 4 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 4.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Harlem Lakes vs Fort MyersHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Harlem Lakes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Harlem Lakes?
Harlem Lakes scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Harlem Lakes compare to Fort Myers overall?
Harlem Lakes scores 1.4 points higher than Fort Myers overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,104 vs $1,580.
Q3
What is the average rent in Harlem Lakes?
Average gross rent in Harlem Lakes is $1,104/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Harlem Lakes residents are renters?
60% of Harlem Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Fort Myers). The neighborhood has 14,397 residents.
Q5
Is Harlem Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?
Harlem Lakes sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Harlem Lakes have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Harlem Lakes is census tract 12071000502 (score 4.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 4.8, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Harlem Lakes for landlords?
Harlem Lakes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Myers as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Harlem Lakes?
Harlem Lakes has 14,467 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.9%), Hispanic / Latino (34.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
