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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071001103 · Lee, FL · pop 2,391 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 12071001103 sits in the Bowling Green area of Fort Myers eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 27% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share78.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate29.3%
Median income$40,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Bowling Green
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 30 tracts In Fort Myers
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 222 tracts In Lee
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.6019, -81.8637 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bowling Green scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.3% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0

How Bowling Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bowling Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 001103Fort Myers: 3.43.4Fort Myersparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bowling Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bowling Green

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $40,000 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 65% here against 52.2% across Lee County.

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,392, 12% below the Fort Myers average. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071001103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001103?

Census tract 12071001103 in the Bowling Green neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071001103?

Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001103?

29.3% of residents in tract 12071001103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,391.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 93th, minority 60th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12071001103 considered part of Bowling Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001103 fall within Bowling Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071001103 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071001103 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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