Neighborhood · San Carlos Park, FL

Osprey Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,858 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 2.4–3.4

Osprey Cove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in San Carlos Park with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,858 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,519/month sits 11% lower than the San Carlos Park citywide average ($1,715).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Osprey Cove vs San Carlos Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.6% +49%

San Carlos Park: 27.9%

Average gross rent

$1,519 -11%

San Carlos Park: $1,715

Average HH income

$77,303 -4%

San Carlos Park: $80,109

Poverty rate

14.0% +41%

San Carlos Park: 9.9%

Renter share

26.7% +1%

San Carlos Park: 26.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Osprey Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.4–3.4

Why Osprey Cove scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

42% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.7 across tracts

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

27% renter households · Range 3.9–5.3 across tracts

5.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.9–5.9 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

14.0% below poverty line · Range 2.1–4.6 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.9 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Osprey Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Osprey Cove?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 2.4 to 3.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

3.4 3.1 2.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Osprey Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12071050213	3.4	4,743	53%	$1,486
12071050212	3.1	4,431	20%	$1,478
12071050207	2.4	2,684	56%	$1,647

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 8%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Osprey Cove

What is the eviction-risk score for Osprey Cove?

Osprey Cove scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Osprey Cove compare to San Carlos Park overall?

Osprey Cove scores 1.0 points higher than San Carlos Park overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,519 vs $1,715.

What is the average rent in Osprey Cove?

Average gross rent in Osprey Cove is $1,519/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Osprey Cove residents are renters?

27% of Osprey Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in San Carlos Park). The neighborhood has 11,858 residents.

Is Osprey Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

Osprey Cove sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Osprey Cove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Osprey Cove is census tract 12071050213 (score 3.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 3.4, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Osprey Cove for landlords?

Osprey Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Carlos Park as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Osprey Cove?

Osprey Cove has 11,880 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Osprey Cove

1.8 Pelican Sound Golf & River Club 2 tracts · pop 7,957 2.8 Bonita Springs 3 tracts · pop 15,648 2.6 Cypress Cove 2 tracts · pop 4,308 3.3 Myerlee 2 tracts · pop 6,460 3.2 Brookdale - College Parkway 3 tracts · pop 8,987 2.6 Bridgetown 2 tracts · pop 5,304

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