3 census tracts · pop 11,858 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3–4.4
Osprey Cove spans 3 census tracts of San Carlos Park, FL, population 11,858. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the San Carlos Park rate of 27.9%.
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.4. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
At $1,519 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of San Carlos Park commands. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $77,303.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Osprey Cove vs San Carlos ParkHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Osprey Cove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Osprey Cove?
Osprey Cove scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Osprey Cove compare to San Carlos Park overall?
Osprey Cove scores 0.2 points higher than San Carlos Park overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,519 vs $1,715.
Q3
What is the average rent in Osprey Cove?
Average gross rent in Osprey Cove is $1,519/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Osprey Cove residents are renters?
27% of Osprey Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in San Carlos Park). The neighborhood has 11,858 residents.
Q5
Is Osprey Cove a high social-vulnerability area?
Osprey Cove sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Osprey Cove have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Osprey Cove is census tract 12071050213 (score 4.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.4, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Osprey Cove for landlords?
Osprey Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Carlos Park as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Osprey Cove?
Osprey Cove has 11,880 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
