Casa Loma Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bayshore Gardens
Tract 12081000201 · Manatee, FL · pop 4,880 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 12081000201, in the Casa Loma area of Bayshore Gardens, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,880. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,124 monthly, set against $44,831 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region
Centroid at 27.4550, -82.5692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casa Loma scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Casa Loma compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 99Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2016)
- 32Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Casa Loma. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Casa Loma
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore Gardens, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Manatee County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 99 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 6.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 12081000201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000201?
What is the average rent in tract 12081000201?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000201?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000201?
Is tract 12081000201 considered part of Casa Loma?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000201?
How does tract 12081000201 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens
Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.