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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Dinner Key Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami

Tract 12086007005 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 1,804 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Here is how census tract 12086007005, in the Dinner Key area of Miami eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,804. It lands near the 43rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,205 a month while the average household earns $59,031 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 32% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units997
Renter share62.6%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$59,031

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Dinner Key
Very High
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 132 tracts In Miami
Moderate
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#247 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,095 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7408, -80.2424 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dinner Key scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,205 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Dinner Key compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dinner Key risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 007005Miami: 3.13.1Miamiparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 73Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.62×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (9.09× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (6.06× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (4.48× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (7.23× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (2.41× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (15.15× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (6.06× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dinner Key. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dinner Key

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086007005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086007005?

Census tract 12086007005 in the Dinner Key neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086007005?

Median gross rent is $2,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086007005?

13.4% of residents in tract 12086007005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,804.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086007005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 54th, minority 92th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 12086007005 considered part of Dinner Key?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086007005 fall within Dinner Key (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086007005 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086007005 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086007005 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12086007005 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 61% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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