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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Dinner Key Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami

Tract 12086006902 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,742 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12086006902 in the Dinner Key area of Miami, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,742 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,325
Renter share18.7%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$76,656

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Dinner Key
Elevated
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#90 of 132 tracts In Miami
Low
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#361 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7479, -80.2244 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dinner Key scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,386 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Dinner Key compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dinner Key risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0069024.6Miamiparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dinner Key. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dinner Key

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 50% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.9% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

At $1,386 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Miami commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $76,656.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086006902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086006902?

Census tract 12086006902 in the Dinner Key neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086006902?

Median gross rent is $1,386/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086006902?

12.9% of residents in tract 12086006902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,742.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086006902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 97th, minority 89th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 12086006902 considered part of Dinner Key?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086006902 fall within Dinner Key (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086006902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086006902 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086006902 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12086006902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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