Neighborhood · Miami, FL

Dinner Key Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 23,204 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.2–4.8

Dinner Key spans 8 census tracts of Miami, FL and houses 23,204 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Miami rate of 37.0%.

26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.2 to 4.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Filings are well documented here: 155 across 4 observed tracts. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.9/10.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 6.8% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

At $1,930 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Miami commands. The most recent observed rate, 2.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Miami, it ranks #8 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Brickell and Oakland Grove.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

8 tracts · population-weighted

Dinner Key vs Miami How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.5% +31%

Miami: 37.0%

Average gross rent

$1,930 +10%

Miami: $1,758

Average HH income

$94,824 +60%

Miami: $59,390

Poverty rate

11.3% -41%

Miami: 19.2%

Renter share

47.3% -32%

Miami: 69.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dinner Key and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 3.2–4.8

Why Dinner Key scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

47% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

11.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.7 across tracts

2.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Dinner Key vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dinner Key?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.6 points from 3.2 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.8 3.2 3.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

8 tracts in Dinner Key

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12086007005	4.8	1,804	49%	$2,205
12086007003	4.6	4,551	59%	$2,210
12086007101	4.5	2,771	44%	$1,066
12086006902	4.4	2,742	50%	$1,386
12086007103	4.1	2,079	35%	$2,169
12086006901	3.8	3,201	60%	$1,656
12086007104	3.2	3,163	41%	$2,040
12086006801	3.2	2,893	41%	$2,675

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 60%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dinner Key

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

155Total filings (sum)
3.06%Avg annual filing rate
6.8%Peak year (2015)
2.69%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

382Total filings 2020-21
0.7Avg monthly observed
0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
1.01×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami).

Frequently asked

About Dinner Key

What is the eviction-risk score for Dinner Key?

Dinner Key scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Dinner Key compare to Miami overall?

Dinner Key scores 0.5 points lower than Miami overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,930 vs $1,758.

What is the average rent in Dinner Key?

Average gross rent in Dinner Key is $1,930/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Dinner Key residents are renters?

47% of Dinner Key households are renter-occupied (vs 69% in Miami). The neighborhood has 23,204 residents.

Is Dinner Key a high social-vulnerability area?

Dinner Key sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Dinner Key have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dinner Key is census tract 12086007005 (score 4.8/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.8, a spread of 1.6 points.

How safe is Dinner Key for landlords?

Dinner Key carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Miami as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Dinner Key?

Dinner Key has 23,626 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (62.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dinner Key

3.8 French Normandy Village 7 tracts · pop 21,683 5.5 Little Havana 26 tracts · pop 90,655 4.2 Chinese Village 2 tracts · pop 3,946 4 Brickell 21 tracts · pop 54,752 3 Florida Pioneer Village 5 tracts · pop 13,325 4.3 French City Village 5 tracts · pop 17,344

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Miami

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dinner Key.

3.9 Brickell 21 tracts · pop 54,752 4.5 Oakland Grove 7 tracts · pop 32,778 4.8 Downtown Miami 11 tracts · pop 23,773 3.2 Coconut Grove 1 tracts · pop 4,338 5.2 Wynwood 9 tracts · pop 39,119 5.2 Overtown 10 tracts · pop 40,401

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