Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Little Havana Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami
Tract 12086005407 ·
Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,559 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 12086005407 in the Little Havana area of Miami, FL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,559 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.0% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%Stable renters 34%Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units943
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$40,057
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80th percentile
#6 of 26 tracts In Little Havana
High
Within parent city
92th percentile
#12 of 132 tracts In Miami
Very High
Within county
87th percentile
#92 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
High
Within state
98th percentile
#120 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7689, -80.2349 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Havana scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,291 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Little Havana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
87%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
72%Grade B
15%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
29Total filings over 2 yrs
2.85%Avg annual filing rate
3.3%Peak (2016)
16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
80Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
1.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Havana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $40,057, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,291 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Miami commands.
It sits 1.4 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 2 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.3% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086005407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005407?
Census tract 12086005407 in the Little Havana neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086005407?
Median gross rent is $1,291/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005407?
21.7% of residents in tract 12086005407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,559.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 78th, minority 96th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 12086005407 considered part of Little Havana?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005407 fall within Little Havana (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005407?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.85% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086005407 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086005407 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086005407 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086005407 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.