Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Little Havana Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami
Tract 12086005303 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,360 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12086005303 sits in the Little Havana area of Miami eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share94.0%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$36,408
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7714, -80.2187 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Havana scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,382 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Little Havana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 160Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2016)
- 81Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 257Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.25×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Havana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Havana
Adults with no health insurance runs 42.9% against 11.3% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $36,408 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 94% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Miami-Dade County at 57.9%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.
At $1,382 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Miami commands. The filing record is not thin: 160 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086005303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005303?
Census tract 12086005303 in the Little Havana neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086005303?
Median gross rent is $1,382/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005303?
24.0% of residents in tract 12086005303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,360.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 38th, minority 98th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 12086005303 considered part of Little Havana?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005303 fall within Little Havana (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 160 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086005303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086005303 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086005303 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086005303 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001903
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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