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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Alafaya Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095016724 · Orange, FL · pop 6,038 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Alafaya

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12095016724 in Alafaya, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,038. Against Orange County at 51.4%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 17% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,139
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$53,911

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In Alafaya
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafaya and the region

Centroid at 28.5470, -81.2389 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alafaya scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alafaya
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alafaya
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alafaya
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alafaya
6.0

How Alafaya compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alafaya risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0167244.0Alafayaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 474Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 11.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.0%Peak (2004)
  • 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095016724
Filings dropped 29% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alafaya

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $53,911, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,473, 26% below the Alafaya average. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 474 eviction filings across 9 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 21.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.7% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016724

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016724?

Census tract 12095016724 in Alafaya scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095016724?

Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016724?

18.3% of residents in tract 12095016724 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,038.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016724?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 46th, minority 76th, housing 34th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095016724?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 474 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095016724 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.70% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12095016724 compare to Alafaya overall?

Tract 12095016724 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alafaya at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya

Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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