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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Alafaya Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095016744 · Orange, FL · pop 5,602

12095016744 is a census tract in Alafaya, FL. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,602 residents. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 27% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,740
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$75,640

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Alafaya
High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,051 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafaya and the region

Centroid at 28.5561, -81.1720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alafaya scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alafaya
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,788 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alafaya
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alafaya
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alafaya
6.0

How Alafaya compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alafaya risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0167444.0Alafayaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alafaya

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.4/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

At $1,788 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Alafaya commands. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016744

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016744?

Census tract 12095016744 in Alafaya scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095016744?

Median gross rent is $1,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016744?

20.5% of residents in tract 12095016744 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,602.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016744?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 44th, minority 70th, housing 56th.
Q5

How does tract 12095016744 compare to Alafaya overall?

Tract 12095016744 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Alafaya at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya

Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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