Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Alafaya Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12095016740 ·
Orange, FL · pop 3,797
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 12095016740 in Alafaya, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,797. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 20%Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,239
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$62,369
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
81th percentile
#4 of 17 tracts In Alafaya
High
Within county
65th percentile
#94 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
78th percentile
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59th percentile
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alafaya and the region
Centroid at 28.5583, -81.2137 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alafaya scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alafaya
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alafaya
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alafaya
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alafaya
6.0
How Alafaya compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $62,369, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.4/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Orange County average of 4.2.
At $1,825 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Alafaya commands. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095016740
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016740?
Census tract 12095016740 in Alafaya scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095016740?
Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016740?
16.5% of residents in tract 12095016740 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,797.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016740?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 75th, minority 79th, housing 21th.
Q5
How does tract 12095016740 compare to Alafaya overall?
Tract 12095016740 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Alafaya at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya
Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.