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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Alafaya Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095016741 · Orange, FL · pop 2,474

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12095016741 in Alafaya, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,474. This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 47% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,687
Renter share89.9%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$54,653

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In Alafaya
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafaya and the region

Centroid at 28.5534, -81.2020 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alafaya scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alafaya
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,924 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alafaya
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alafaya
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alafaya
6.0

How Alafaya compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alafaya risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0167414.0Alafayaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alafaya

Set annual rent against average income of $54,653 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.2 points above the Orange County average of 4.2. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.4/10. Against Orange County at 51.4%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016741

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016741?

Census tract 12095016741 in Alafaya scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095016741?

Median gross rent is $1,924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016741?

26.1% of residents in tract 12095016741 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,474.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016741?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 61th, minority 82th, housing 33th.
Q5

How does tract 12095016741 compare to Alafaya overall?

Tract 12095016741 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Alafaya at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya

Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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