Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Orsita Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Hunters Creek
Tract 12095017015 · Orange, FL · pop 6,627 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12095017015 in the Orsita Bay area of Hunters Creek, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,310
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$122,640
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hunters Creek and the region
Centroid at 28.3540, -81.4505 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orsita Bay scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hunters Creek
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,886 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hunters Creek
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hunters Creek
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hunters Creek
5.8
How Orsita Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 404Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2002)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orsita Bay
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against Orange County at 51.4%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.2 points below the Orange County average of 4.2. Court records carry 404 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
At $1,886 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Hunters Creek commands. The worst year on record was 2002, when 9.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017015?
Census tract 12095017015 in the Orsita Bay neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017015?
Median gross rent is $1,886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017015?
5.4% of residents in tract 12095017015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 55th, minority 79th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12095017015 considered part of Orsita Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017015 fall within Orsita Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095017015?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 404 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095017015 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095017015 compare to Hunters Creek overall?
Tract 12095017015 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Hunters Creek at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hunters Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hunters Creek
Top eight tracts in Hunters Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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