Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #43,585 of 84,120 nationally
Orsita Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hunters Creek
Tract 12095017015 · Orange, FL · pop 6,627 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 12095017015 belongs to the Orsita Bay neighborhood of Hunters Creek, Florida. It is home to 6,627 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,886 a month while the average household earns $122,640 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,310
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$122,640
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hunters Creek and the region
Centroid at 28.3540, -81.4505 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orsita Bay scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hunters Creek
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,886 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hunters Creek
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hunters Creek
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hunters Creek
5.8
How Orsita Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 404Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2002)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orsita Bay
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hunters Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 404 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.2% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017015?
Census tract 12095017015 in the Orsita Bay neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017015?
Median gross rent is $1,886/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017015?
5.4% of residents in tract 12095017015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 55th, minority 79th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12095017015 considered part of Orsita Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017015 fall within Orsita Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095017015?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 404 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095017015 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095017015 compare to Hunters Creek overall?
Tract 12095017015 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Hunters Creek at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hunters Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hunters Creek
Top eight tracts in Hunters Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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