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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,790 of 84,120 nationally

Bryn Mawr Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway

Tract 12095013605 · Orange, FL · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 12095013605 in the Bryn Mawr area of Conway ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,525 residents. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,449 monthly, set against $69,531 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 21% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,435
Renter share49.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$69,531

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Bryn Mawr
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 5 tracts In Conway
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileBottomTop
#36 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileBottomTop
#120 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 28.4978, -81.3184 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryn Mawr scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
6.2

How Bryn Mawr compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryn Mawr risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 013605Conway: 3.73.7Conwayparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 311Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 3.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2007)
  • 43Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950136052000: 28 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2001: 24 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2002: 35 filings (3.84/100 renter HHs)2003: 23 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 34 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2006: 44 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2007: 58 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 43 filings (4.93/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 54% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bryn Mawr. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conway, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 311 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 3.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.0% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095013605

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013605?

Census tract 12095013605 in the Bryn Mawr neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095013605?

Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013605?

23.6% of residents in tract 12095013605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 28th, minority 65th, housing 56th.

Q5

Is tract 12095013605 considered part of Bryn Mawr?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013605 fall within Bryn Mawr (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013605?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 311 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.72% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 12095013605 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 12095013605 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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