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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Bryn Mawr Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway

Tract 12095013605 · Orange, FL · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 12095013605 sits in the Bryn Mawr area of Conway, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,525 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 21% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,435
Renter share49.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$69,531

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bryn Mawr
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Conway
Very High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#98 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 28.4978, -81.3184 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryn Mawr scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
6.2

How Bryn Mawr compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryn Mawr risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0136053.4Conwayparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 311Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 3.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2007)
  • 43Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095013605
Filings climbed 54% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bryn Mawr. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 57% here against 51.4% across Orange County.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 311 filings here across 9 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.2% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,449 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Conway commands.

The worst year on record was 2007, when 6.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Orange County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $69,531. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095013605

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013605?

Census tract 12095013605 in the Bryn Mawr neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095013605?

Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013605?

23.6% of residents in tract 12095013605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013605?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 28th, minority 65th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 12095013605 considered part of Bryn Mawr?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013605 fall within Bryn Mawr (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013605?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 311 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.72% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095013605 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 12095013605 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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