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Neighborhood · Winter Garden, FL

Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,813 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Orchard Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Winter Garden, FL and houses 6,813 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 17% against 30.8% citywide, putting Orchard Park 13.8% under its own city.

The voucher gap is 32.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,591, 32% above the Winter Garden average of $1,963.

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.4/10. On the high side is supply constraint at 8.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Alexander Ridge and Winter Garden. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $120,325.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Orchard Park vs Winter Garden How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
17.0% -45%
Winter Garden: 30.8%
Average gross rent
$2,591 +32%
Winter Garden: $1,963
Average HH income
$120,325 +13%
Winter Garden: $106,371
Poverty rate
11.2% +24%
Winter Garden: 9.0%
Renter share
13.8% -60%
Winter Garden: 34.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orchard Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Orchard Park scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
17% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Risk score comparison

Orchard Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orchard Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Orchard ParkNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Orchard Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12095017117 3 6,813 17% $2,591
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 0%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Orchard Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orchard Park?

Orchard Park scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orchard Park compare to Winter Garden overall?

Orchard Park scores 1.0 points lower than Winter Garden overall (4/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,591 vs $1,963.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orchard Park?

Average gross rent in Orchard Park is $2,591/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orchard Park residents are renters?

14% of Orchard Park households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Winter Garden). The neighborhood has 6,813 residents.
Q5

Is Orchard Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Orchard Park sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Orchard Park for landlords?

Orchard Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winter Garden as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Orchard Park?

Orchard Park has 6,553 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.7%), Hispanic / Latino (16.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orchard Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winter Garden

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orchard Park.

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