Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Winter Garden

The voucher gap is 32.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.

At $2,591 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Winter Garden commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.2/10. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $120,325.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.