Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Winter Garden
Tract 12095017117 · Orange, FL · pop 6,813 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Orchard Park area of Winter Garden anchors census tract 12095017117, which lands at 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
17% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,591 monthly, set against $120,325 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,168
Renter share13.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$120,325
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region
Centroid at 28.5193, -81.6039 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Park scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,591 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1
How Orchard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Garden, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.2 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017117
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017117?
Census tract 12095017117 in the Orchard Park neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017117?
Median gross rent is $2,591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017117?
11.2% of residents in tract 12095017117 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017117?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 66th, minority 63th, housing 0th.
Q5
Is tract 12095017117 considered part of Orchard Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017117 fall within Orchard Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12095017117 compare to Winter Garden overall?
Tract 12095017117 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Garden at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden
Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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