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Neighborhood · Orlando, FL

Carver Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 18,953 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.5–5.9

Carver Shores takes in 4 census tracts of Orlando, FL and houses 18,953 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Orlando baseline of 34.1%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

This is a renter market: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 4.5 to 5.9. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filings are well documented here: 3,972 across 4 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 37.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 7.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #2 of 43 neighborhoods in Orlando. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,650, close to the Orlando average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Carver Shores vs Orlando How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.3% +59%
Orlando: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$1,650 -6%
Orlando: $1,747
Average HH income
$48,675 -30%
Orlando: $69,268
Poverty rate
21.8% +41%
Orlando: 15.5%
Renter share
68.1% +13%
Orlando: 60.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carver Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.5–5.9

Why Carver Shores scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 1.5–8.2 across tracts
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–3.0 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
68% renter households · Range 4.5–8.2 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–8.6 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
21.8% below poverty line · Range 2.6–7.9 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–4.2 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Carver Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carver Shores score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4Carver ShoresNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carver Shores?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 4.5 to 5.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Carver Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12095014702 5.9 5,093 62% $1,509
12095014609 5.4 5,889 50% $1,705
12095014608 5.4 5,435 49% $1,650
12095014703 4.5 2,536 61% $1,803
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carver Shores

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,972Total filings (sum)
  • 11.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.4%Peak year (2007)
  • 7.30%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About Carver Shores

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carver Shores?

Carver Shores scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carver Shores compare to Orlando overall?

Carver Shores scores 1.4 points higher than Orlando overall (4/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,650 vs $1,747.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carver Shores?

Average gross rent in Carver Shores is $1,650/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carver Shores residents are renters?

68% of Carver Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Orlando). The neighborhood has 18,953 residents.
Q5

Is Carver Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Carver Shores sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carver Shores have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carver Shores is census tract 12095014702 (score 5.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.9, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Carver Shores for landlords?

Carver Shores carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orlando as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carver Shores?

Carver Shores has 18,583 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (43.9%), Hispanic / Latino (20.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carver Shores

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orlando

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carver Shores.

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