Neighborhood · Orlando, FL

Carver Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 18,953 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.2–5.9

Carver Shores is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Orlando with 4 census tracts and a population of 18,953 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,650/month sits 6% lower than the Orlando citywide average ($1,747).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Carver Shores vs Orlando How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.3% +59%

Orlando: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$1,650 -6%

Orlando: $1,747

Average HH income

$48,675 -30%

Orlando: $69,268

Poverty rate

21.8% +41%

Orlando: 15.5%

Renter share

68.1% +13%

Orlando: 60.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carver Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.2–5.9

Why Carver Shores scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–6.5 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 1.5–8.2 across tracts

3.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–3.0 across tracts

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

68% renter households · Range 4.5–8.2 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–8.6 across tracts

5.2

Economic stress

21.8% below poverty line · Range 2.6–7.9 across tracts

5.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–4.2 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Carver Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Carver Shores?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.7 points from 4.2 to 5.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.9 4.9 4.8 4.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Carver Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12095014608	5.9	5,435	49%	$1,650
12095014609	4.9	5,889	50%	$1,705
12095014702	4.8	5,093	62%	$1,509
12095014703	4.2	2,536	61%	$1,803

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 70%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carver Shores

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3,972Total filings (sum)
11.63%Avg annual filing rate
37.4%Peak year (2007)
7.30%Latest filed (2016)

Frequently asked

About Carver Shores

What is the eviction-risk score for Carver Shores?

Carver Shores scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Carver Shores compare to Orlando overall?

Carver Shores scores 2.2 points higher than Orlando overall (2.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,650 vs $1,747.

What is the average rent in Carver Shores?

Average gross rent in Carver Shores is $1,650/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Carver Shores residents are renters?

68% of Carver Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Orlando). The neighborhood has 18,953 residents.

Is Carver Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Carver Shores sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Carver Shores have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carver Shores is census tract 12095014608 (score 5.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.9, a spread of 1.7 points.

How safe is Carver Shores for landlords?

Carver Shores carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orlando as a whole (2.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Carver Shores?

Carver Shores has 18,583 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (43.9%), Hispanic / Latino (20.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carver Shores

4.3 Stonebridge Lakes 2 tracts · pop 15,388 5.2 Catalina 2 tracts · pop 13,851 4.8 Washington Shores 2 tracts · pop 7,085 4.1 Florida Center 3 tracts · pop 15,580 5.1 Park Central 4 tracts · pop 17,220 5.6 West Colonial 2 tracts · pop 7,599

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orlando

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carver Shores.

5.1 Windhover 1 tracts · pop 6,093 5.1 Ventura 2 tracts · pop 7,379 5.1 Catalina 2 tracts · pop 13,851 4.9 Richmond Heights 1 tracts · pop 3,766 5.3 Callahan 1 tracts · pop 3,123 4.8 Candlewyck 3 tracts · pop 9,909

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