Neighborhood · Buenaventura Lakes, FL

Oak Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 21,523 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.3–6.6

Oak Run takes in 3 census tracts of Buenaventura Lakes, FL and houses 21,523 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. 53% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Buenaventura Lakes rate of 34.2%.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.3 to 6.6, a 3.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.7/10. Court records carry 436 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 6.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.6% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Average gross rent runs $1,834, close to the Buenaventura Lakes average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Oak Run vs Buenaventura Lakes How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.3% +56%

Buenaventura Lakes: 34.2%

Average gross rent

$1,834 +2%

Buenaventura Lakes: $1,806

Average HH income

$68,422 +11%

Buenaventura Lakes: $61,822

Poverty rate

11.3% -9%

Buenaventura Lakes: 12.4%

Renter share

20.3% -22%

Buenaventura Lakes: 26.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.3–6.6

Why Oak Run scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 8.1–9.3 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.8 across tracts

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 5.5–9.3 across tracts

6.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.1–8.9 across tracts

7.7

Economic stress

11.3% below poverty line · Range 2.0–4.5 across tracts

2.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–5.7 across tracts

4.4

Risk score comparison

Oak Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oak Run?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.3 points from 3.3 to 6.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.6 3.9 3.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Oak Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12097042400	6.6	6,579	65%	$2,090
12097042702	3.9	7,398	80%	$1,762
12097042500	3.3	7,546	17%	$1,680

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 63%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 15%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Run

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

436Total filings (sum)
2.69%Avg annual filing rate
6.1%Peak year (2009)
2.56%Latest filed (2017)

Frequently asked

About Oak Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Run?

Oak Run scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Oak Run compare to Buenaventura Lakes overall?

Oak Run scores 0.5 points higher than Buenaventura Lakes overall (4/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,834 vs $1,806.

What is the average rent in Oak Run?

Average gross rent in Oak Run is $1,834/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Oak Run residents are renters?

20% of Oak Run households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Buenaventura Lakes). The neighborhood has 21,523 residents.

Is Oak Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Run sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Oak Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oak Run is census tract 12097042400 (score 6.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 6.6, a spread of 3.3 points.

How safe is Oak Run for landlords?

Oak Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buenaventura Lakes as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Run?

Oak Run has 21,174 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (68.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Run

4.3 Pemberly Pines 2 tracts · pop 10,419

Zoom out