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Bay Pines, Florida eviction risk overview
City brief · 2,519 residents

Bay Pines, FL Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Pinellas County · Population 2,519

In 2026
Risk score
2.1
VERY LOW

30th percentile, Florida.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average2.2 Now2.1
3.1 1.6 1976 · score 2.6 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.1 1979 · score 2.1 1980 · score 2.1 1981 · score 2.1 1982 · score 2.1 1983 · score 2.0 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.7 1989 · score 1.7 1990 · score 1.8 1991 · score 1.9 1992 · score 2.2 1993 · score 2.1 1994 · score 2.1 1995 · score 2.1 1996 · score 2.3 1997 · score 2.3 1998 · score 2.3 1999 · score 2.3 2000 · score 2.3 2001 · score 2.3 2002 · score 2.3 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.1 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.7 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.8 2012 · score 2.6 2013 · score 2.6 2014 · score 2.5 2015 · score 2.5 2016 · score 2.4 2017 · score 2.4 2018 · score 2.4 2019 · score 2.4 2020 · score 3.1 2021 · score 2.9 2022 · score 2.4 2023 · score 2.4 2024 · score 2.2 2025 · score 2.2 2026 · score 2.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.5 Regional 5.5 State 1.5 Economic 4.4 Supply 5.1 Rent Control 3.9 Eviction 1.7 Tenant 2.7 Housing 4.9 2.1 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +5.2% (2024)
    5.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.5
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    12.0% poverty · 0.2% unemp.
    4.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,185 average · 13.3% renters
    5.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    51.0% of income on rent
    3.9
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    29 days filing → judgment
    1.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    13.3% renters
    2.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Pines and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Bay Pines compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Pinellas County
Low
#28 of 37 cities
Rank in county, 25th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 37 cities in Pinellas County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Florida
Low
#664 of 949 cities
Rank in state, 30th percentileLowHigh
#664 of 949 cities in Florida for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Bay Pines risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Bay Pines: 2.12.1Bay PinesThis cityCounty: 2.52.5Countyavg in countyState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.1
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.1/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-0.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 29d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,185/mo. A contested eviction takes 29 days and costs $1,335–$3,801 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 13.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 2,519 residents, 13.3% rent. 51% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 12.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.5 and 5.5 (GOP margin +5.2% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.7, housing court bias 4.9, rent-control risk 3.9. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.4. Supply constraint: 5.1. The numbers behind those: 12.0% poverty, 0.2% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Bay Pines sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 2.7 Tampa St. Petersburg, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.7 St. Petersburg Spring Hill, FL · 30d · ~$2.3k all-in ($76/day) · score 2.4 Spring Hill Brandon, FL · 30d · ~$2.2k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.4 Brandon Clearwater, FL · 30d · ~$2.1k all-in ($71/day) · score 2.6 Clearwater Riverview, FL · 28d · ~$2.6k all-in ($92/day) · score 2.3 Riverview Town 'n' Country, FL · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($95/day) · score 2.4 Town 'n' Country Largo, FL · 28d · ~$2.5k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Largo Wesley Chapel, FL · 28d · ~$2.3k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.2 Wesley Chapel Palm Harbor, FL · 25d · ~$2.6k all-in ($102/day) · score 2.2 Palm Harbor Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Bay Pines
Bay Pines · 29d · ~$2.6k all-in ($89/day) · score 2.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Bay Pines, FL

Landlording in Bay Pines, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.1/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Bay Pines is a city of 2,519 residents where 13.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,185/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Bay Pines eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Bay Pines closes 29 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Bay Pines's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Bay Pines runs $1,335 to $3,801 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 29 days of typical timeline and $1,185/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.7/10 in Bay Pines, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.9/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Bay Pines: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,801 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Bay Pines

Trap · 13.3%
13.3% renter share against 2,519 residents produces roughly 335 rental occupants in Bay Pines. Pinellas County voted D 0.2% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-01-01.

In the most recent month, 1,050 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.64× the historical baseline (far below baseline). Past 12 months: 17,254 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 96,678.

  • 1,050Past month
  • 17,254Past 12 months
  • 0.64×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least three days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $185 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-01-01 – 2025-12-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-01-01: 1,868 filings (1.01× hist)2023-02-01: 1,607 filings (1.01× hist)2023-03-01: 1,520 filings (1.02× hist)2023-04-01: 1,322 filings (0.92× hist)2023-05-01: 1,763 filings (1.05× hist)2023-06-01: 1,769 filings (1.07× hist)2023-07-01: 1,633 filings (0.95× hist)2023-08-01: 1,919 filings (1.04× hist)2023-09-01: 1,861 filings (1.08× hist)2023-10-01: 1,872 filings (1.14× hist)2023-11-01: 1,529 filings (1.03× hist)2023-12-01: 1,599 filings (0.97× hist)2024-01-01: 1,836 filings (0.99× hist)2024-02-01: 1,672 filings (1.02× hist)2024-03-01: 1,471 filings (0.98× hist)2024-04-01: 1,554 filings (1.08× hist)2024-05-01: 1,613 filings (0.96× hist)2024-06-01: 1,525 filings (0.93× hist)2024-07-01: 1,805 filings (1.05× hist)2024-08-01: 1,765 filings (0.96× hist)2024-09-01: 1,573 filings (0.92× hist)2024-10-01: 1,428 filings (0.87× hist)2024-11-01: 1,451 filings (0.97× hist)2024-12-01: 1,684 filings (1.03× hist)2025-01-01: 1,744 filings (0.94× hist)2025-02-01: 1,447 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 1,393 filings (0.93× hist)2025-04-01: 1,225 filings (0.85× hist)2025-05-01: 1,452 filings (0.86× hist)2025-06-01: 1,495 filings (0.91× hist)2025-07-01: 1,634 filings (0.95× hist)2025-08-01: 1,548 filings (0.84× hist)2025-09-01: 1,783 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 1,524 filings (0.92× hist)2025-11-01: 959 filings (0.64× hist)2025-12-01: 1,050 filings (0.64× hist)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the most common mistake Bay Pines landlords make during eviction?

The biggest mistake is usually a faulty 3-day notice. Landlords often add late fees or other charges to the rent amount, making the notice invalid. Or they don't give the full three business days. Get the notice right, or you'll lose time and money.
Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Bay Pines without a lawyer?

Yes, you can, but it's risky. Florida eviction law has specific procedural requirements. One small error can get your case dismissed, forcing you to restart. For a few hundred dollars, an attorney can ensure it's done correctly, saving you headaches and potential lost rent.
Q3

How long does a tenant have to respond to an eviction lawsuit in Florida?

Once served with the eviction complaint, tenants typically have 5 business days to file a written response with the court. If they don't respond, you can usually get a default judgment, which speeds up the process.
Q4

Are there any specific tenant protections in Bay Pines or Pinellas County?

No statewide just-cause eviction, no statewide rent control, and no statewide source-of-income protection. This generally means the state leans landlord-friendly in these areas. You can find more details on general Florida tenant protections and specific Florida rent control rules.
Q5

What if my tenant claims they can't pay due to a hardship?

While you can sympathize, Florida law doesn't generally provide exceptions for tenant hardships in eviction cases for non-payment of rent. You still follow the 3-day notice process. You might consider offering a payment plan or cash for keys if you want to avoid a full eviction, but you are not legally obligated to.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.1/10 places Bay Pines in the 30th percentile of Florida cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.