Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Harbor Palms Eviction Risk: Lower , East Lake
Tract 12103026814 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,190 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 12103026814 in the Harbor Palms area of Safety Harbor, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,190. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units968
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$56,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake and the region
Centroid at 28.0362, -82.7043 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harbor Palms scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,240 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake
4.5
How Harbor Palms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 65Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 20Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Harbor Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harbor Palms
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,240 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Safety Harbor commands.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.
The filing record is not thin: 65 evictions over 16 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 5.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $56,667.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026814
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026814?
Census tract 12103026814 in the Harbor Palms neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026814?
Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026814?
6.7% of residents in tract 12103026814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,190.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026814?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 85th, minority 21th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026814 considered part of Harbor Palms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026814 fall within Harbor Palms (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026814?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12103026814 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.82% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026814 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026814 compare to East Lake overall?
Tract 12103026814 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of East Lake at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake
Top eight tracts in East Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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