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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Dunedin Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater

Tract 12103026915 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,183 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 12103026915 sits in the Dunedin Cove area of Dunedin, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 2,183. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 19% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,105
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$59,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Dunedin Cove
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Clearwater
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#964 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Clearwater and the region

Centroid at 27.9996, -82.7681 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dunedin Cove scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,894 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
6.4

How Dunedin Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dunedin Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0269153.4Clearwaterparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 132Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.05×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dunedin Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dunedin Cove

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $59,188, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,894 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Dunedin commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103026915

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026915?

Census tract 12103026915 in the Dunedin Cove neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103026915?

Median gross rent is $1,894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026915?

19.3% of residents in tract 12103026915 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,183.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026915?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 34th, minority 28th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 12103026915 considered part of Dunedin Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026915 fall within Dunedin Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103026915 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103026915 compare to Clearwater overall?

Tract 12103026915 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater

Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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