Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bellerive Eviction Risk: Lower , East Lake
Tract 12103027309 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,357 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12103027309 in the Bellerive area of East Lake, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,357. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units866
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$120,526
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake and the region
Centroid at 28.1588, -82.6712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellerive scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake
6.2
How Bellerive compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.4%Peak (2012)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 8Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellerive
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.
Court records carry 21 eviction filings across 12 observed years. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 17.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027309
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027309?
Census tract 12103027309 in the Bellerive neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027309?
7.3% of residents in tract 12103027309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,357.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027309?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 32th, minority 18th, housing 20th.
Q4
Is tract 12103027309 considered part of Bellerive?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027309 fall within Bellerive (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027309?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 12103027309 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.36% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027309 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103027309 compare to East Lake overall?
Tract 12103027309 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of East Lake at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake
Top eight tracts in East Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Harbor Palms
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103027333
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Nine Eagles
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027321
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027324
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027325
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027328
3
/ 10 · Low
Related