Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,218 of 84,120 nationally
Harbor Palms Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Lake
Tract 12103027326 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,895 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Here is how census tract 12103027326, in the Harbor Palms area of East Lake, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,895. That is riskier than roughly 43% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,662 monthly, set against $61,068 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,931
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$61,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake and the region
Centroid at 28.0559, -82.7014 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harbor Palms scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake
6.2
How Harbor Palms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 356Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.2%Peak (2002)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Harbor Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harbor Palms
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Lake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 356 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.2% of renter households in 2002.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.44x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027326
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027326?
Census tract 12103027326 in the Harbor Palms neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027326?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027326?
16.8% of residents in tract 12103027326 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027326?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 28th, minority 43th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027326 considered part of Harbor Palms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027326 fall within Harbor Palms (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027326?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 356 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027326 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.03% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027326 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027326 compare to East Lake overall?
Tract 12103027326 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake
Top eight tracts in East Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103027333
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Nine Eagles
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027324
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Bellerive
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027321
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027328
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027329
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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