Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Holiday Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103024804 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,820 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 12103024804 covers part of the Holiday Park area of West Lealman, FL, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units911
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$64,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8157, -82.7234 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holiday Park scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
7.0
How Holiday Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 447Total filings over 18 yrs
- 10.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.9%Peak (2009)
- 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 131Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holiday Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holiday Park
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 447 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.
At $1,473 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of West Lealman commands. Filings peaked in 2009 at 33.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024804?
Census tract 12103024804 in the Holiday Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024804?
Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024804?
23.9% of residents in tract 12103024804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,820.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 79th, minority 55th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024804 considered part of Holiday Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024804 fall within Holiday Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 447 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.91% of renter households, peaking at 33.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024804 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103024804 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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