Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Holiday Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 14,054 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3–5.1

Holiday Park takes in 3 census tracts of St. Petersburg, FL and houses 14,054 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 33.9% citywide, putting Holiday Park 22.4% over its own city.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.1, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,436 across 3 observed tracts.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 33.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.1% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Average gross rent is $1,532, 8% below the St. Petersburg average of $1,663. Among the 42 mapped neighborhoods of St. Petersburg, it ranks #12 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Highland Oaks and Bridgewater Place score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $66,013.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Holiday Park vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.3% +66%

St. Petersburg: 33.9%

Average gross rent

$1,532 -8%

St. Petersburg: $1,663

Average HH income

$66,013 -16%

St. Petersburg: $78,724

Poverty rate

13.7% +17%

St. Petersburg: 11.7%

Renter share

28.9% -22%

St. Petersburg: 37.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holiday Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why Holiday Park scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.5 across tracts

5.1

Rent control risk

56% of income on rent · Range 1.5–6.6 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–3.0 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 4.5–5.2 across tracts

4.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–7.0 across tracts

4.6

Economic stress

13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.0 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.0 across tracts

2.7

Risk score comparison

Holiday Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Holiday Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.1 points from 3 to 5.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.1 4.8 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Holiday Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103024804	5.1	2,820	49%	$1,473
12103022501	4.8	5,056	50%	$1,591
12103022503	3	6,178	64%	$1,511

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 45%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 69%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Holiday Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,436Total filings (sum)
5.35%Avg annual filing rate
33.9%Peak year (2009)
2.71%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

391Total filings 2020-21
1.7Avg monthly observed
1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
1.12×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Holiday Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Holiday Park?

Holiday Park scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Holiday Park compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Holiday Park scores 0.6 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,532 vs $1,663.

What is the average rent in Holiday Park?

Average gross rent in Holiday Park is $1,532/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Holiday Park residents are renters?

29% of Holiday Park households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 14,054 residents.

Is Holiday Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Holiday Park sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Holiday Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Holiday Park is census tract 12103024804 (score 5.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.

How safe is Holiday Park for landlords?

Holiday Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Holiday Park?

Holiday Park has 14,308 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holiday Park

4.3 Jungle Terrace 5 tracts · pop 15,018 3.3 Disston Heights 4 tracts · pop 16,404 4.2 Millbrooke Ranch 5 tracts · pop 18,037 3.3 Live Oak 2 tracts · pop 8,258 4.3 Duval Park 4 tracts · pop 12,571 3.5 Central Oak Park 3 tracts · pop 8,993

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holiday Park.

4.1 Highland Oaks 2 tracts · pop 6,067 4 Roser Park 1 tracts · pop 2,937 4 Magnolia Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,635 4.2 Bridgewater Place 3 tracts · pop 11,502 3.9 Bear Creek 6 tracts · pop 17,727 4.3 Ponce de Leon 2 tracts · pop 5,651

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