1 census tracts · pop 5,345 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Bay Breeze Cove is a one-tract neighborhood of St. Petersburg, FL, population 5,345. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 33.9% citywide, putting Bay Breeze Cove 16.3% over its own city.
28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,383, 17% below the St. Petersburg average of $1,663. Court records for this tract carry 640 eviction filings.
Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 9.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.1% in 2017, is well off that peak.
That places it #32 of 42 neighborhoods in St. Petersburg. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $70,641. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Breeze Cove vs St. PetersburgHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bay Breeze Cove
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
640Total filings (sum)
4.20%Avg annual filing rate
9.6%Peak year (2004)
5.13%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
81Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly observed
2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Bay Breeze Cove
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Breeze Cove?
Bay Breeze Cove scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bay Breeze Cove compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Bay Breeze Cove scores 0.5 points lower than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,383 vs $1,663.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bay Breeze Cove?
Average gross rent in Bay Breeze Cove is $1,383/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bay Breeze Cove residents are renters?
39% of Bay Breeze Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 5,345 residents.
Q5
Is Bay Breeze Cove a high social-vulnerability area?
Bay Breeze Cove sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bay Breeze Cove for landlords?
Bay Breeze Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Breeze Cove?
Bay Breeze Cove has 5,303 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.8%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
