Skip to content
Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Bay Breeze Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,345 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.9–2.9

Bay Breeze Cove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 1 census tract and a population of 5,345 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,383/month sits 17% lower than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Breeze Cove vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.2% +48%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,383 -17%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$70,641 -10%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
4.6% -61%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
39.4% +6%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Breeze Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.9–2.9

Why Bay Breeze Cove scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
4.6% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Bay Breeze Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bay Breeze Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bay Breeze Cove: 2.92.9Bay Breeze CoveNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bay Breeze Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103024100 2.9 5,345 50% $1,383
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bay Breeze Cove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 640Total filings (sum)
  • 4.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak year (2004)
  • 5.13%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 81Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.43×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Bay Breeze Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Breeze Cove?

Bay Breeze Cove scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bay Breeze Cove compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Bay Breeze Cove scores 0.2 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,383 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bay Breeze Cove?

Average gross rent in Bay Breeze Cove is $1,383/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bay Breeze Cove residents are renters?

39% of Bay Breeze Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 5,345 residents.
Q5

Is Bay Breeze Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Breeze Cove sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bay Breeze Cove for landlords?

Bay Breeze Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Breeze Cove?

Bay Breeze Cove has 5,303 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.8%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Breeze Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bay Breeze Cove.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further