2 census tracts · pop 5,657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Heritage Oaks is a 2-tract neighborhood of Lealman, FL and houses 5,657 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 34.5% citywide, putting Heritage Oaks 27.0% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.2/10.
Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,174, close to the Lealman average.
40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Heritage Oaks vs LealmanHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Heritage Oaks
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
529Total filings 2020-21
3.7Avg monthly observed
6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Heritage Oaks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Oaks?
Heritage Oaks scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Heritage Oaks compare to Lealman overall?
Heritage Oaks scores 1.4 points higher than Lealman overall (4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,174 vs $1,247.
Q3
What is the average rent in Heritage Oaks?
Average gross rent in Heritage Oaks is $1,174/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Heritage Oaks residents are renters?
40% of Heritage Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Lealman). The neighborhood has 5,657 residents.
Q5
Is Heritage Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?
Heritage Oaks sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Heritage Oaks have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Heritage Oaks is census tract 12103024603 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 5.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Heritage Oaks for landlords?
Heritage Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lealman as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Oaks?
Heritage Oaks has 6,063 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
