Neighborhood · Lealman, FL

Heritage Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5–5.1

Heritage Oaks is a white-black neighborhood in Lealman with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,657 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 36% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,174/month sits 6% lower than the Lealman citywide average ($1,247).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Heritage Oaks vs Lealman How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

61.5% +78%

Lealman: 34.5%

Average gross rent

$1,174 -6%

Lealman: $1,247

Average HH income

$39,278 -15%

Lealman: $45,949

Poverty rate

22.2% +52%

Lealman: 14.6%

Renter share

40.3% +9%

Lealman: 37.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heritage Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5–5.1

Why Heritage Oaks scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

62% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

40% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Economic stress

22.2% below poverty line · Range 5.3–5.7 across tracts

5.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts

1.2

Risk score comparison

Heritage Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Heritage Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103024603	5.1	3,294	62%	$1,268
12103024604	5	2,363	61%	$1,044

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 78%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 87%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heritage Oaks

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

529Total filings 2020-21
3.7Avg monthly observed
6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.66×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Heritage Oaks

What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Oaks?

Heritage Oaks scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Heritage Oaks compare to Lealman overall?

Heritage Oaks scores 2.5 points higher than Lealman overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,174 vs $1,247.

What is the average rent in Heritage Oaks?

Average gross rent in Heritage Oaks is $1,174/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Heritage Oaks residents are renters?

40% of Heritage Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Lealman). The neighborhood has 5,657 residents.

Is Heritage Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Heritage Oaks sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Heritage Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Heritage Oaks is census tract 12103024603 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.1, a spread of 0.1 points.

How safe is Heritage Oaks for landlords?

Heritage Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lealman as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Oaks?

Heritage Oaks has 6,063 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heritage Oaks

3.8 Duval Park 4 tracts · pop 12,571 4 Ponce de Leon 2 tracts · pop 5,651 3.6 Meadowlawn 4 tracts · pop 18,257 3 Disston Heights 4 tracts · pop 16,404 3.7 Millbrooke Ranch 5 tracts · pop 18,037 3.4 Euclid-St. Paul 2 tracts · pop 4,178

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lealman

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heritage Oaks.

3.8 Duval Park 4 tracts · pop 12,571

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