3 census tracts · pop 5,665 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3–3.6
Historic Old Northeast is a 3-tract neighborhood of St. Petersburg, FL, population 5,665. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. Against a St. Petersburg baseline of 33.9%, 60% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.
Court records for this tract carry 79 eviction filings. Average gross rent is $1,454, 13% below the St. Petersburg average of $1,663.
Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 4.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 0.5% in 2017, is well off that peak.
That places it #29 of 42 neighborhoods in St. Petersburg. The closest comparables inside the same city are Waterside and Lake Maggiore Shores. Against average income of $89,217, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Historic Old Northeast vs St. PetersburgHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority21%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Historic Old Northeast
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
79Total filings (sum)
1.60%Avg annual filing rate
4.9%Peak year (2002)
0.49%Latest filed (2017)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
106Total filings 2020-21
0.5Avg monthly observed
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Historic Old Northeast
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Historic Old Northeast?
Historic Old Northeast scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Historic Old Northeast compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Historic Old Northeast scores 0.3 points lower than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,454 vs $1,663.
Q3
What is the average rent in Historic Old Northeast?
Average gross rent in Historic Old Northeast is $1,454/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Historic Old Northeast residents are renters?
52% of Historic Old Northeast households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 5,665 residents.
Q5
Is Historic Old Northeast a high social-vulnerability area?
Historic Old Northeast sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Historic Old Northeast have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Historic Old Northeast is census tract 12103023601 (score 3.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.6, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Historic Old Northeast for landlords?
Historic Old Northeast carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Historic Old Northeast?
Historic Old Northeast has 5,845 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
