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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Historic Old Northeast Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 5,665 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.8/10 · range 2.2–3.4

Historic Old Northeast is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 3 census tracts and a population of 5,665 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,454/month sits 13% lower than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score
2.8
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Historic Old Northeast vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.0% +77%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,454 -13%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$89,217 +13%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
7.2% -38%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
52.0% +40%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Historic Old Northeast and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.2–3.4

Why Historic Old Northeast scores 2.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Historic Old Northeast vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Historic Old Northeast score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Historic Old North: 2.82.8Historic Old NorthNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Historic Old Northeast?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 2.2 to 3.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Historic Old Northeast

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103023601 3.4 1,848 58% $1,748
12103023602 3.1 1,368 45% $1,563
12103023700 2.2 2,449 70% $1,172
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 27%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 21%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Historic Old Northeast

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 79Total filings (sum)
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2002)
  • 0.49%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 106Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly observed
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.63×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Historic Old Northeast

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Historic Old Northeast?

Historic Old Northeast scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Historic Old Northeast compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Historic Old Northeast scores 0.1 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,454 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Historic Old Northeast?

Average gross rent in Historic Old Northeast is $1,454/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Historic Old Northeast residents are renters?

52% of Historic Old Northeast households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 5,665 residents.
Q5

Is Historic Old Northeast a high social-vulnerability area?

Historic Old Northeast sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Historic Old Northeast have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Historic Old Northeast is census tract 12103023601 (score 3.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.2 to 3.4, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Historic Old Northeast for landlords?

Historic Old Northeast carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Historic Old Northeast?

Historic Old Northeast has 5,845 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Historic Old Northeast

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Historic Old Northeast.

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