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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Ponce de Leon Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,651 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Ponce de Leon is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,651 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,411/month sits 15% lower than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score
4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Ponce de Leon vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.2% +92%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,411 -15%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$55,290 -30%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
14.9% +28%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
16.9% -55%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ponce de Leon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4–4

Why Ponce de Leon scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
14.9% below poverty line · Range 3.5–4.0 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.8 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Ponce de Leon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ponce de Leon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ponce de Leon: 4.04.0Ponce de LeonNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Ponce de Leon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103023000 4 2,864 69% $1,539
12103022902 4 2,787 62% $1,279
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 75%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ponce de Leon

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 668Total filings (sum)
  • 6.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 8.17%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 281Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly observed
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Ponce de Leon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ponce de Leon?

Ponce de Leon scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ponce de Leon compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Ponce de Leon scores 1.3 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,411 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ponce de Leon?

Average gross rent in Ponce de Leon is $1,411/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ponce de Leon residents are renters?

17% of Ponce de Leon households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 5,651 residents.
Q5

Is Ponce de Leon a high social-vulnerability area?

Ponce de Leon sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Ponce de Leon have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ponce de Leon is census tract 12103023000 (score 4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Ponce de Leon for landlords?

Ponce de Leon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Ponce de Leon?

Ponce de Leon has 5,677 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.2%), Hispanic / Latino (13.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ponce de Leon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ponce de Leon.

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