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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Edge District Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103021600 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,957 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

12103021600 is a census tract in the Edge District area of St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 50% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,277
Renter share86.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$64,432

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Edge District
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#54 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7718, -82.6526 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edge District scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Edge District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Edge District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0216003.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 720Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2002)
  • 33Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103021600
Filings dropped 21% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 113Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edge District

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 43% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,278, 23% below the St. Petersburg average. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 720 filings here across 18 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 7.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103021600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103021600?

Census tract 12103021600 in the Edge District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103021600?

Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103021600?

23.2% of residents in tract 12103021600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,957.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103021600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 56th, minority 57th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12103021600 considered part of Edge District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103021600 fall within Edge District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103021600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 720 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103021600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.59% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103021600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103021600 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103021600 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12103021600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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