Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,641 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023100 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,635 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
How risky is the Magnolia Heights neighborhood of St. Petersburg for landlords? Census tract 12103023100 scores 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,403 monthly, set against $68,894 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,222
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$68,894
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7996, -82.6587 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Heights scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Magnolia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 64%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 374Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2002)
- 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 76Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 374 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.4% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023100?
Census tract 12103023100 in the Magnolia Heights neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023100?
Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023100?
15.2% of residents in tract 12103023100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,635.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 56th, minority 48th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023100 considered part of Magnolia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023100 fall within Magnolia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103023100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 374 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103023100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.29% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103023100 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023100 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103023100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 64% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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